Weekly Bitcoin Price Analysis & Forecasts22nd December – 28th December 2025
Following last week’s consolidation, Bitcoin has continued to trade in a tight range, reflecting the expected slowdown in volatility as we move deeper into the holiday period. Liquidity remains thin, and price is moving within well-defined levels rather than establishing directional trends. This week, the focus remains on the reaction at key horizontal zones rather than trend continuation, as BTC remains capped under resistance and supported by a firm demand base.
Market conditions are slower and more deliberate, with intraday swings showing signs of absorption rather than impulse. Until volume returns in January, the most effective approach is level-to-level execution rather than breakout anticipation.
Hourly Chart Analysis
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC continues to respect its established range. Price remains trapped between a clearly defined resistance zone at $90,000 and support at $87,000, which has now formed a short-term decision range.
Key Observations
$90,000 is acting as the primary ceiling, with sharp rejections on approach.
$87,000 continues to catch downside wicks, reinforcing it as a defended support level.
Price has yet to secure acceptance above the 200EMA, suggesting a lack of momentum from buyers.
What confirms a shift?
Bullish case: A clean break and hourly close above $90,000 → $91,500 – $92,500 becomes the next target region.
Bearish case: Losing $87,000 opens inefficient price space toward $85,500 – $84,000.
For now, intraday structure remains neutral, with a bias toward range reversion until proven otherwise.
Daily Chart Analysis
The daily chart still leans bearish overall, with BTC holding below the 50EMA and 200EMA, maintaining a broader downtrend structure. However, the recent defence of local lows suggests an attempt from buyers to stabilise momentum rather than continue trending lower.
Key Daily Structure Points
Lower-high formation is still intact; no trend reversal confirmed.
Reclaiming $92,000+ on a daily close is required to shift directional bias.
Breakdown remains possible if $87,000 fails, given the lack of structural support beneath.
Volume remains seasonal and reduced, meaning larger moves may be delayed until January when market participation returns.
Summary & Outlook
This week is notably light across the macro calendar, with no red (high-impact) economic events scheduled. However, traders should still note the following releases:
Dec 30 – US Pending Home Sales m/m
Dec 31 – US FOMC Meeting Minutes
Jan 1 – US Unemployment Claims
Although none are high-impact, thin order books during the holiday period increase the probability of stop hunts, liquidity grabs, and false breakouts.
Credit: Crypto Craft
Final Market Notes
BTC remains inside a range — $90K resistance / $87K support define the week.
Volume is expected to remain muted.
A decisive move likely won’t occur until early January.
Closing Remarks
This marks the final analysis before the new year. With volume reduced and direction uncertain, patience and discipline remain the best tools. Levels are clear, the range is defined, and the next expansion phase will likely begin when normal market participation returns.
Wishing everyone a safe holiday period and a Happy New Year — see you in 2026.
