Weekly Trading Analysis: A Detailed Breakdown of Market Momentum BTC 18th August – 26th August 2025
Bitcoin faced heightened volatility this week as momentum shifted sharply after last week’s strength. Price action was heavily influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty and technical rejection zones, creating a choppy environment for traders. Let’s break down what happened on the hourly and daily timeframes and what it could mean moving forward.
Hourly Analysis
On Monday, BTC attempted to hold above the $116K level but failed as sellers stepped in aggressively. Price consolidated early in the week between $115K and $117K, with both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance levels.
Mid-week saw a brief breakout attempt on Thursday where price spiked above $117.5K, but this was quickly sold off, suggesting a liquidity grab rather than a genuine bullish push. By Friday, momentum had shifted clearly to the downside as price broke below both EMAs with increasing sell volume, signaling growing bearish sentiment.
Saturday and Sunday continued the downward pressure, with BTC dropping toward the $111K level. The rejection from the midweek breakout and inability to reclaim the 50 EMA kept sellers in control heading into the new week.
Daily Analysis
The daily chart confirms the bearish shift noted on the hourly timeframe. After failing to hold above $117K early in the week, BTC broke below the 50 EMA for the first time in several weeks. This technical breakdown aligns with the rejection candle from last week, suggesting a possible shift from bullish momentum into a consolidation or corrective phase.
The key levels moving forward:
Support: $110K psychological level, followed by $106K if selling pressure continues.
Resistance: $116K–$117K region where previous breakdown occurred, now acting as a major supply zone.
If BTC fails to reclaim $116K soon, the risk of a deeper pullback toward $106K increases significantly.
Summary
This week marked a clear pause in bullish momentum with sellers taking control after multiple failed breakout attempts above $117K. For now, traders should watch:
Whether BTC can reclaim the 50 EMA on the daily chart.
Reactions around $110K support as a critical level for buyers to defend.
Macro news that could impact risk appetite heading into September.
If buying volume doesn’t return soon, we may see further consolidation or even a deeper correction before bullish momentum can resume.
