Weekly Trading Analysis: A Detailed Breakdown of Market MomentumBTC 14th – 20th July 2025
Last week, Bitcoin exhibited a fascinating balance between strength and consolidation. The market opened with volatility and range-bound behavior, but by week’s end, BTC delivered a strong push upwards — leaving traders and analysts alike re-evaluating the current trend. With macro risks slowly fading and technical levels aligning, the outlook has shifted to cautious optimism.
Hourly Analysis
BTC opened the week with moderate movement but found strong support around the 200 EMA, especially during Monday and Tuesday's price action. Consolidation between $116,000 and $118,000 dominated the early week as price coiled within a tight range — often a precursor to volatility.
By Thursday evening, price executed a clean bounce off the 200 EMA, with increasing volume leading to a breakout above the 50 EMA. This propelled BTC into a rally that peaked near $119,900 on Friday, just shy of the psychological $120,000 mark.
Notably, Friday’s rally was fueled by both a bullish EMA crossover and a clear sweep of short-term liquidity sitting above the $118,000 range. Post-breakout, BTC remained volatile — rejecting just under $120,000 before retracing slightly, still finding footing above the 50 EMA, indicating bullish intent moving into the new week.
Daily Analysis
The daily chart reflects broader bullish structure. Following the mid-July breakout that pushed BTC from sub-$110K to nearly $120K, price entered a high-level consolidation phase.
For the week of July 14–20:
Support: Daily price held comfortably above prior resistance (~$114,000–$115,000 zone), turning it into support.
Structure: The current range sits above the 50 EMA, which is sharply trending upward — showing momentum remains strong.
Volume: Though volume has decreased slightly post-breakout, the most recent candles show demand stepping in to support any dips.
As of Sunday, BTC closed with a bullish candle, recovering after intra-day selling pressure. This suggests buyers remain in control, but they are cautious at these elevated levels, especially as price nears historical resistance zones around $121,000.
Summary
Bitcoin is showing strong continuation signs after its explosive breakout earlier this month. The 200 EMA provided dependable support on the hourly, and the breakout above $118K confirms bullish pressure is still present.
Heading into this week:
Watch for a clean break above $120,000 for continuation toward $123K–$125K.
A breakdown below $116,000 would invalidate the current short-term structure.
With volume slowly picking up again, volatility should be expected — particularly near resistance.
BTC remains bullish, but traders should approach with discipline as price navigates high-altitude territory.