Weekly Trading Analysis: A Detailed Breakdown of Market Momentum BTC 9th - 15th June 2025
This week’s Bitcoin price action delivered a high-volatility sequence of breakouts, resistance tests, and geopolitically driven dips. Market participants were tested on both ends of the spectrum — optimism around technical structure and panic from global headlines. Here’s a detailed breakdown of what unfolded across both the hourly and daily charts.
Hourly Analysis
The week began strong as BTC broke above a key daily structure level and surged up to a significant resistance point at $110,000. Monday’s momentum seemed promising, but Tuesday and Wednesday price stalled, consolidating between $108K and $110K.
Midweek saw a sharp breakdown below the 50 EMA, which coincided with a noticeable increase in volume — a potential early warning of a bearish reversal. Price pulled back to the 200 EMA, a zone that aligned with the previously broken structure, acting now as support.
BTC briefly rebounded to retest the 50 EMA, but it turned into clear resistance. This confluence with developing macro uncertainty — notably news that the US embassy in Iran had been evacuated — shifted market sentiment. The situation escalated Thursday after-hours, when Israel launched a strike on Iran, causing a swift 2% dump in a single hour, dragging BTC down to 102.6K.
Despite the chaos, investors bought the dip quickly. By Friday, price had rallied back up to 106.1K, showing resilience in the face of global instability. Still, the 50 EMA continued to cap price action. NY session on Friday was marked by indecision, reflected by large wicks and low conviction moves.
Weekend action was tame, trading inside a tight $104.2K–106.1K range. However, a bullish sign appeared late Sunday night as Futures reopened — BTC pushed above both the 50 and 200 EMA, with a golden cross potentially forming. This could signal strength heading into the new week.
Daily Analysis
From a higher time frame perspective, the daily chart remains bullish.
BTC closed above the previous lower high, and also formed a higher low, suggesting a shift in market structure. The 50 EMA once again served as a dependable support level, absorbing the midweek dip and helping to stabilize the trend.
Key levels going forward:
Support: 102.5K (50 EMA + psychological level)
Resistance: 110K and beyond (multi-week resistance zone)
As long as price holds above 102.5K, the bullish case remains intact, especially if we see strong follow-through from Sunday’s golden cross formation.
Summary
This week combined classic technical reactions with powerful geopolitical catalysts. Despite the shock sell-off, BTC's recovery was swift — a sign of market maturity and dip-buying confidence. Heading into next week, all eyes are on:
Whether BTC can break past 110K with conviction
Confirmation of the hourly golden cross
Stability in global headlines as macro risks remain
Momentum looks to be building again, but traders should remain alert to any shifts in sentiment from both news and technical structure.
