Weekly Trading Analysis: A Detailed Breakdown of Market MomentumBTC 1st December – 7th December 2025
Bitcoin began December with a noticeable shift in tone — bouncing from late-November lows and regaining upward momentum to close the week near $92K. After weeks of sustained selling pressure, BTC finally found technical relief as volume returned to the upside and risk sentiment stabilized ahead of a critical series of global central bank decisions.
While the broader macro backdrop remains cautious, this week’s recovery offered a glimmer of optimism for traders. A confluence of technical support, improved liquidity, and reduced volatility allowed BTC to claw back some of its recent losses — marking the strongest weekly performance since early October.
Hourly Analysis
The 1-hour chart showcases a distinct recovery structure after an initial sharp drop early in the week. Bitcoin briefly retested the $89K–$90K demand zone before reversing with a strong bullish impulse that lifted price back above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — a notable shift from prior weeks where BTC remained pinned below both.
After reclaiming $90.5K, buyers sustained pressure with higher lows and clean EMA retests, indicating that short-term trend sentiment has turned moderately bullish. Volume spikes during each upward leg reinforced that this move was supported by genuine buying rather than thin-market short covering.
The next key resistance sits around $92.5K–$93K, a level that has capped several rallies since mid-November. If BTC consolidates above $91.5K without major rejection, momentum could carry into the mid-$94K region next week. For now, intraday structure favors continued strength unless price closes back below the $90K handle.
Daily Analysis
Zooming out to the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of a potential short-term trend reversal. After carving out a base between $85K–$88K, BTC printed a sequence of higher lows and closed multiple daily candles above the 50 EMA, a positive sign after nearly a month of sub-trend trading.
The most recent bullish daily candle was accompanied by rising volume, suggesting renewed conviction from buyers. However, the broader structure still leans corrective — BTC remains below the 200 EMA, which continues to slope downward, acting as a ceiling near $94K.
For sustained recovery, Bitcoin will need a decisive daily close above $93.5K–$94K to invalidate the bearish market structure from November. If that occurs, upside targets of $96K–$98K could quickly come into play. Conversely, any breakdown back below $89K would indicate that the move was merely a relief rally within a larger downtrend.
Summary & Upcoming Events
This upcoming week brings a stacked macro calendar, headlined by multiple red-tier events that could inject volatility across all risk markets, including crypto. Based on the CryptoCraft calendar, here are the major events to watch:
Thursday, Dec 11 – US Federal Funds Rate Decision & FOMC Press Conference: The most important event of the week. Markets expect the Fed to maintain current rates, but any hawkish tone from Powell could spark renewed downside across Bitcoin and equities.
Thursday, Dec 11 – US Employment Cost Index q/q: A key inflation-linked labor measure. A hotter print could support a stronger dollar, pressuring BTC’s short-term gains.
Friday, Dec 12 – US Unemployment Claims: Expected to remain tight. Any surprise increase could signal early cracks in the labor market, potentially softening Fed expectations.
Traders should remain cautious as BTC navigates through these events — especially with volatility likely to spike around the FOMC statement. The recent bullish momentum is encouraging, but confirmation through sustained daily closes above $93K is essential before considering a structural reversal. Until then, BTC’s recovery remains fragile within a macro environment still dominated by central bank uncertainty.
Credit: Crypto Craft
