Weekly Trading Analysis: A Detailed Breakdown of Market MomentumBTC 8th December – 14th December 2025
Bitcoin entered the second week of December attempting to stabilise after the aggressive selloff seen in late November. Following on from last week’s analysis, price action showed early signs of short-term recovery on lower timeframes, while the higher timeframe structure remains firmly under pressure. Volatility increased toward the end of the week as price reacted around key moving averages and liquidity levels, setting the tone for what could be a decisive period ahead.
Hourly Analysis
On the hourly timeframe, Bitcoin spent the early part of the week consolidating after reclaiming ground from the prior week’s lows. Price pushed higher into the 92k region, briefly holding above the 50 EMA and attempting to build acceptance above this short-term dynamic resistance. This move was driven by a short squeeze rather than sustained spot demand, which became evident as volume faded on continuation attempts.
Midweek, price began to stall and roll over as sellers stepped back in near the 200 EMA. The rejection from this level led to a sharp impulse move lower, breaking short-term structure and sweeping liquidity below the prior range lows. This move was followed by a modest bounce, but importantly, price failed to regain the broken support, confirming it as resistance.
Toward the end of the week, Bitcoin traded in a tighter consolidation, forming a lower high structure while remaining capped below the key intraday resistance around the 90k–91k region. As it stands, the hourly chart suggests reactive price action rather than trend continuation, with buyers struggling to maintain momentum on rallies.
Daily Analysis
From a daily perspective, the broader bearish structure remains intact. Price continues to trade below the 200 EMA, which has now firmly rolled over and is acting as dynamic resistance. The failure to reclaim this level reinforces the view that recent upside has been corrective rather than impulsive.
The daily candles show a strong rejection from the mid-range of the prior distribution, with lower highs continuing to print. While there was a notable bounce from the recent lows, the lack of follow-through and declining volume suggest this move was more of a relief rally than a trend reversal.
Key daily support remains near the recent swing low, with any decisive break below this level opening the door for further downside. On the upside, the daily 50 EMA and the prior breakdown zone will remain critical areas to watch if price attempts another recovery. Until Bitcoin can close decisively back above these levels, the higher timeframe bias remains cautious to bearish.
Summary and The Week Ahead
Bitcoin ends the week in a vulnerable position, consolidating below major resistance after failing to sustain its early December bounce. Short-term structure shows hesitation, while the daily timeframe continues to reflect broader downside pressure. Traders should remain patient, as upcoming macro events could act as catalysts for increased volatility.
Looking ahead, several high-impact red events from the Crypto Craft calendar are worth close attention. US labour market data, including Non-Farm Employment Change and the US Unemployment Rate, will be key drivers for risk sentiment. Additionally, US CPI data later in the week could significantly influence expectations around monetary policy, which historically has had a strong correlation with Bitcoin volatility.
With price sitting at a pivotal zone, these macro releases may provide the volatility needed for Bitcoin to either reclaim higher levels or continue its broader corrective move. As always, risk management remains critical as the market navigates this data-heavy period.
Credit: Crypto Craft
